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Alaves vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Real Madrid in the World Cup on April 13, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
1
0
Apr 13, 2:15PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Apr 13, 2:15PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
M. Sanchez (70')
E. Camavinga (34')
K. Mbappe (38')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces F. Valverde
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
T. Courtois (Real Madrid) cautioned
C. Protesoni (Alaves) cautioned
Lucas (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces A. Blanco
Substitution for Alaves: P. Cabanes replaces C. Alena
E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces F. Garcia
N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces Joan Jordan
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diarra replaces A. Abqar
M. Sanchez (Alaves) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Real Madrid: Vinicius Junior replaces A. Guler
Substitution for Real Madrid: J. Bellingham replaces Rodrygo
Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces C. Martin
C. Martin (Alaves) cautioned
Joan Jordan (Alaves) cautioned
K. Mbappe (Real Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
Goal scored for Real Madrid by E. Camavinga, assisted by F. Valverde
1-0
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
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Alaves vs. Real Madrid: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Alaves vs. Real Madrid prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Alaves vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025
- Time: 10:15 AM ET
- Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Alaves +420, Real Madrid -145, draw +290
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-118/-104)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Alaves: 21.6%
- Real Madrid: 55.0%
- Draw: 23.4%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Alaves 1-1 Real Madrid.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.0%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Alaves vs. Real Madrid prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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