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Alaves vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Alaves vs. Real Madrid La Liga game on April 13, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
1
0
Apr 13, 2:15PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Apr 13, 2:15PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
M. Sanchez (70')
E. Camavinga (34')
K. Mbappe (38')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
100.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityReal MadridAlavesDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityReal MadridAlavesHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces F. Valverde
90'
Yellow Card
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
T. Courtois (Real Madrid) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
C. Protesoni (Alaves) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
Lucas (Real Madrid) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces A. Blanco
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: P. Cabanes replaces C. Alena
80'
Yellow Card
E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces F. Garcia
77'
Yellow Card
N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces Joan Jordan
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diarra replaces A. Abqar
70'
Red Card
M. Sanchez (Alaves) sent off with a straight red card
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Vinicius Junior replaces A. Guler
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: J. Bellingham replaces Rodrygo
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces C. Martin
56'
Yellow Card
C. Martin (Alaves) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
Joan Jordan (Alaves) cautioned
38'
Red Card
K. Mbappe (Real Madrid) sent off with a straight red card
34'
Goal scored for Real Madrid by E. Camavinga, assisted by F. Valverde
1-0
19'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul

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Alaves vs. Real Madrid: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, April 13, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Alaves +420, Real Madrid -145, Draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-118/-104)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Alaves: 21.6%
  • Real Madrid: 55.0%
  • Draw: 23.4%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Alaves 1-1 Real Madrid, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Alaves a win probability of 21.6%, while Real Madrid has a win probability of 55.0%. The chance of a draw is 23.4%.

Summary

Our Alaves vs. Real Madrid predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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