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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid at the La Liga on April 6, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Atletico Madrid
2
1
Apr 6, 2:15PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
Sevilla
Apr 6, 2:15PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
L. Agoume (7')
Soccer ball icon
J. Alvarez (pen.) (25')
Soccer ball icon
P. Barrios (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEV
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: S. Idumbo replaces L. Agoume
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by P. Barrios, assisted by M. Llorente
2-1
90'
Yellow Card
K. Salas (Sevilla) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Sorloth (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
R. Le Normand (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: T. Lemar replaces C. Gallagher
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: S. Niguez replaces A. S. Lokonga
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: I. Romero replaces C. Ejuke
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces G. Simeone
57'
Yellow Card
C. Lenglet (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces C. Azpilicueta
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces A. Griezmann
51'
Yellow Card
G. Simeone (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Galan replaces N. Molina
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: N. Gudelj replaces A. Pedrosa
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez (pen.)
1-1
11'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: C. Ejuke replaces R. Vargas
7'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by L. Agoume
0-1

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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +250, Atletico Madrid +120, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+126/-154)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sevilla: 29.6%
  • Atletico Madrid: 42.6%
  • Draw: 27.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.6% probability, while Atletico Madrid sits at 42.6%, with the draw at 27.7%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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