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Girona vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Girona vs. Alaves at the La Liga on April 5, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
0
Apr 5, 12PM Estadi Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)
Girona
Apr 5, 12PM Estadi Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GironaGIR
Score Summary
AlavesALA
C. Vicente (61')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GIR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
A. Sivera (Alaves) cautioned
83'
Yellow Card
T. Conechny (Alaves) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Conechny replaces C. Martin
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Portu replaces M. Gutierrez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Alena replaces J. Guridi
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces Joan Jordan
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Arthur Melo replaces O. Romeu
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces A. Ruiz
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: V. Tsygankov replaces D. van de Beek
65'
Yellow Card
A. Abqar (Alaves) cautioned
61'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by C. Vicente, assisted by J. Guridi
1-0
58'
Yellow Card
J. Guridi (Alaves) cautioned

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Girona vs. Alaves: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Girona vs. Alaves prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Girona vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Girona +105, Alaves +280, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+134/-160)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Girona: 46.9%
  • Alaves: 26.6%
  • Draw: 26.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Girona 1-1 Alaves, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Girona is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 46.9% probability, while Alaves sits at 26.6%, with the draw at 26.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Girona vs. Alaves prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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