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Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano at the La Liga on March 29, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
Mar 29, 5:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Mar 29, 5:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Rayo VallecanoRVC
P. Ciss (2')
Soccer ball icon
P. Diaz (58')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RVC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Palazon replaces U. Lopez
80'
Yellow Card
N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
S. Mourino (Alaves) cautioned
78'
Yellow Card
A. Hernandez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Conechny replaces Joan Jordan
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces J. de Frutos
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: A. Embarba replaces A. Garcia
62'
Yellow Card
A. Batalla (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces J. Guridi
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Martin replaces C. Alena
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by P. Diaz
2-0
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: P. Diaz replaces O. Trejo
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha replaces R. Nteka
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces P. Cabanes
42'
Yellow Card
O. Valentin (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
R. Nteka (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
16'
Yellow Card
P. Cabanes (Alaves) cautioned
14'
Penalty missed by Joan Jordan for Alaves
8'
Yellow Card
P. Fernandez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
2'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by P. Ciss, assisted by U. Lopez
1-0

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Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano
  • Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025
  • Time: 1:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +115, Rayo Vallecano +310, draw +195

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 43.9%
  • Rayo Vallecano: 27.7%
  • Draw: 28.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 43.9% probability, while Rayo Vallecano sits at 27.7%, with the draw at 28.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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