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Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao at the La Liga on March 16, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Athletic Bilbao
1
0
Mar 16, 3:15PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
Sevilla
Mar 16, 3:15PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
Y. Alvarez (84')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEV
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
BIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Y. Berchiche replaces A. Berenguer
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: S. Idumbo replaces J. A. Carmona
84'
Yellow Card
L. Agoume (Sevilla) cautioned
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by Y. Alvarez, assisted by A. Berenguer
1-0
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Adams replaces D. Sow
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces G. Guruzeta
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Sanchez replaces I. Romero
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: R. Vargas replaces C. Ejuke
66'
Yellow Card
U. Nunez (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Jauregizar replaces B. Prados Diaz
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces M. Vesga
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: N. Williams replaces U. Gomez
59'
Yellow Card
A. Berenguer (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. S. Lokonga replaces S. Niguez
45'
Penalty missed by M. Vesga for Ath Bilbao
23'
Yellow Card
S. Niguez (Sevilla) cautioned
19'
Yellow Card
D. Sow (Sevilla) cautioned
10'
Yellow Card
O. Nyland (Sevilla) cautioned

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Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
  • Time: 11:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +175, Athletic Bilbao +190, draw +205
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+144/-178)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sevilla: 34.1%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 37.3%
  • Draw: 28.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 34.1% probability, while Athletic Bilbao sits at 37.3%, with the draw at 28.6%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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