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Las Palmas vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Las Palmas vs. Alaves at the La Liga on March 14, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
2
:
2
Mar 14, 8PM Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas de Gran Canaria)
Las Palmas
Mar 14, 8PM Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas de Gran Canaria)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Las PalmasLPA
Score Summary
AlavesALA
F. Silva (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
A. Moleiro (90')
Soccer ball icon
T. Martinez (7')
Soccer ball icon
J. Guridi (63')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LPA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Las Palmas by F. Silva (pen.)
2-1
90'
Yellow Card
A. Januzaj (Las Palmas) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Las Palmas by A. Moleiro
2-2
90'
Yellow Card
D. Martinez (Las Palmas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
E. Coudet (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Villalibre (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. Fuster (Las Palmas) cautioned
80'
Yellow Card
N. Tenaglia (Alaves) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: M. Fuster replaces J. Campana
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: F. Garces replaces C. Martin
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces Joan Jordan
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: A. Januzaj replaces S. Ramirez
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by J. Guridi, assisted by A. Villalibre
2-0
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces C. Vicente
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: Marvin replaces Alex Suarez
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Villalibre replaces T. Martinez
49'
Yellow Card
S. Ramirez (Las Palmas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: O. McBurnie replaces S. Bajcetic
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: M. Marmol replaces A. Munoz
45'
Yellow Card
T. Martinez (Alaves) cautioned
7'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by T. Martinez, assisted by S. Mourino
1-0
5'
Yellow Card
A. Munoz (Las Palmas) cautioned
4'
Yellow Card
Joan Jordan (Alaves) cautioned

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Las Palmas vs. Alaves: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Las Palmas vs. Alaves prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Las Palmas vs. Alaves
  • Date: Friday, March 14, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Gran Canaria
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Las Palmas +200, Alaves +180, draw +200
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+150/-179)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Las Palmas: 35.9%
  • Alaves: 35.7%
  • Draw: 28.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Las Palmas 1-1 Alaves, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Las Palmas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 35.9% probability, while Alaves sits at 35.7%, with the draw at 28.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Las Palmas vs. Alaves prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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