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Alaves vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Villareal at the La Liga on March 8, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
0
1
Mar 8, 3:15PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Mar 8, 3:15PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
M. Sanchez (11')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sivera (58')
Red Card icon
A. Blanco (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
M. Diarra (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Red Card
A. Blanco (Alaves) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Buchanan replaces W. Kambwala
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: D. Suarez replaces A. Baena
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Villalibre replaces K. Garcia
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: M. Diarra replaces M. Sanchez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: S. Comesana replaces Y. Pino
77'
Yellow Card
A. Blanco (Alaves) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: T. Barry replaces P. Gueye
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Pedraza replaces S. Cardona
70'
Yellow Card
Y. Pino (Villarreal) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces Joan Jordan
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: F. Garces replaces C. Martin
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rodriguez replaces P. Cabanes
58'
Red Card
A. Sivera (Alaves) sent off with a straight red card
11'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by M. Sanchez
0-1

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Alaves vs. Villareal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Villareal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Villareal
  • Date: Saturday, March 8, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +215, Villareal +155, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+120/-145)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 33.5%
  • Villareal: 40.0%
  • Draw: 26.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-1 Villareal, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 33.5% probability, while Villareal sits at 40.0%, with the draw at 26.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Villareal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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