Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao in the World Cup on March 1, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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Athletic Bilbao
0
1
Mar 1, 8PM Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Mar 1, 8PM Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
Athletic BilbaoBIL
J. Alvarez (66')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Yellow Card
Y. Alvarez (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces M. Jauregizar
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Sannadi replaces A. Berenguer
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: O. de Marcos replaces A. Gorosabel
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. M. Gimenez replaces P. Barrios
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez, assisted by M. Llorente
0-1
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: B. Prados Diaz replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces A. Griezmann
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces U. Gomez
62'
Yellow Card
A. Gorosabel (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces S. Lino
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Alvarez replaces A. Sorloth
58'
Yellow Card
A. Sorloth (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Llorente replaces G. Simeone
32'
Yellow Card
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

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Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao
  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano
  • Tournament: FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid +115, Athletic Bilbao +270, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 44.4%
  • Athletic Bilbao: 28.5%
  • Draw: 27.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.

Correct score

The most likely correct score for this match is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 44.4%.

For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.

Summary

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.

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