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Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid at the La Liga on February 22, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
3
0
Feb 22, 5:30PM Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
Valencia
Feb 22, 5:30PM Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
J. Alvarez (12')
Soccer ball icon
J. Alvarez (30')
Soccer ball icon
A. Correa (86')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VCF
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Correa, assisted by C. Gallagher
3-0
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: D. Lopez replaces E. Barrenechea
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: F. Perez replaces L. Rioja
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: R. Mir replaces U. Sadiq
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Sorloth replaces J. Alvarez
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces A. Griezmann
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. M. Gimenez replaces G. Simeone
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: A. Almeida replaces Ivan Jaime
64'
Yellow Card
J. Galan (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: H. Duro replaces Pepelu
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Gallagher replaces C. Azpilicueta
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. Galan replaces S. Lino
42'
Yellow Card
J. Guerra (Valencia) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
C. Lenglet (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez, assisted by A. Griezmann
2-0
23'
Yellow Card
S. Lino (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by J. Alvarez, assisted by G. Simeone
1-0

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Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, February 22, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia +320, Atletico Madrid +105, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+130/-152)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Valencia: 25.7%
  • Atletico Madrid: 47.4%
  • Draw: 26.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Valencia 0-1 Atletico Madrid, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Valencia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.7% probability, while Atletico Madrid sits at 47.4%, with the draw at 26.8%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Valencia vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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