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Leganes vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Leganes vs. Alaves La Liga game on February 15, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Alaves
3
:
3
Feb 15, 1PM Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganés)
Leganes
Feb 15, 1PM Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganés)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LeganesLEG
Score Summary
AlavesALA
D. Raba (pen.) (10')
D. Raba (pen.) (37')
Munir El Haddadi (88')
Munir El Haddadi (90')
K. Garcia (25')
Joan Jordan (pen.) (50')
Joan Jordan (68')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LEG
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAlavesLeganesDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityAlavesLeganesHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
Munir El Haddadi (Leganes) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Yellow Card
A. Abqar (Alaves) cautioned
88'
Goal scored for Leganes by Munir El Haddadi, assisted by V. Rosier
3-3
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Pica replaces C. Alena
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Leganes: Munir El Haddadi replaces R. Tapia
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Leganes: J. Chicco replaces J. Hernandez
83'
Yellow Card
Duk (Leganes) cautioned
82'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Protesoni replaces K. Garcia
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Leganes: O. Rodriguez replaces D. Brasanac
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Leganes: M. de la Fuente replaces J. Cruz
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Leganes: Duk replaces S. Cisse
68'
Goal scored for Alaves by Joan Jordan, assisted by C. Alena
3-2
67'
Yellow Card
J. Cruz (Leganes) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
D. Raba (Leganes) cautioned
59'
Yellow Card
S. Mourino (Alaves) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
D. Brasanac (Leganes) cautioned
57'
Yellow Card
B. Jimenez (Leganes) cautioned
50'
Goal scored for Alaves by Joan Jordan (pen.)
2-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Joan Jordan replaces A. Guevara
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: S. Mourino replaces M. Sanchez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces J. Guridi
37'
Goal scored for Leganes by D. Raba (pen.)
1-2
36'
Yellow Card
E. Coudet (Alaves) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
A. Sivera (Alaves) cautioned
25'
Goal scored for Alaves by K. Garcia, assisted by C. Alena
1-1
18'
Yellow Card
M. Sanchez (Alaves) cautioned
10'
Goal scored for Leganes by D. Raba (pen.)
0-1
9'
Yellow Card
M. Diarra (Alaves) cautioned

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Leganes vs. Alaves: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Leganes vs. Alaves
  • Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Leganes +270, Alaves +125, Draw +200

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Leganes: 31.8%
  • Alaves: 38.0%
  • Draw: 30.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this La Liga game is Leganes 0-1 Alaves, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Leganes a win probability of 31.8%, while Alaves has a win probability of 38.0%. The chance of a draw is 30.3%.

Summary

Our Leganes vs. Alaves predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert La Liga predictions and the best La Liga bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes La Liga futures, La Liga odds, and the latest La Liga news.

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