Real Madrid vs. Las Palmas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Real Madrid vs. Las Palmas at the La Liga on January 19, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Las Palmas
1
4
Jan 19, 3:15PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
Jan 19, 3:15PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
Las PalmasLPA
K. Mbappe (pen.) (18')
Soccer ball icon
B. Diaz (33')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mbappe (36')
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Rodrygo (57')
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F. Silva (1')
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B. Ramirez (64')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LPA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Lorenzo replaces Lucas
86'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: C. Andres replaces D. Ceballos
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Endrick replaces Rodrygo
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: M. Cardona replaces S. Ramirez
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Guler replaces B. Diaz
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Alaba replaces A. Rudiger
74'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: O. McBurnie replaces F. Silva
64'
Red Card
B. Ramirez (Las Palmas) sent off with a straight red card
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: E. Loiodice replaces A. Munoz
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: M. Fuster replaces A. Moleiro
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo, assisted by F. Garcia
1-4
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: B. Ramirez replaces J. Herzog
45'
Yellow Card
S. Ramirez (Las Palmas) cautioned
43'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe, assisted by Rodrygo
1-3
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by B. Diaz, assisted by Lucas
1-2
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by K. Mbappe (pen.)
1-1
1'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Las Palmas by F. Silva, assisted by S. Ramirez
1-0

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Real Madrid vs. Las Palmas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Las Palmas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Las Palmas
  • Date: Sunday, January 19, 2025
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -550, Las Palmas +1600, draw +750

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 76.2%
  • Las Palmas: 8.9%
  • Draw: 14.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 76.2% probability, while Las Palmas sits at 8.9%, with the draw at 14.9%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Las Palmas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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