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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid in the World Cup on December 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
1
2
Dec 4, 8PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Dec 4, 8PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
Score Summary
A. Berenguer (53')
G. Guruzeta (80')
J. Bellingham (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
J. Bellingham (Real Madrid) cautioned
G. Guruzeta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: Endrick replaces Rodrygo
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Guler replaces Lucas
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: Y. Berchiche replaces A. Boiro
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by G. Guruzeta
1-2
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces O. Sancet
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: O. de Marcos replaces A. Gorosabel
Goal scored for Real Madrid by J. Bellingham
1-1
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Lucas (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces A. Tchouameni
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Mendy replaces F. Garcia
A. Tchouameni (Real Madrid) cautioned
Penalty missed by K. Mbappe for Real Madrid
J. Agirrezabala (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: G. Guruzeta replaces A. Berenguer
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Ruiz de Galarreta replaces B. Prados Diaz
Substitution for Real Madrid: B. Diaz replaces D. Ceballos
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Berenguer
0-1
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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid: World Cup prediction & analysis
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.
Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.
The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.
Match overview
- Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Wednesday, December 4, 2024
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: San Mamés Barria
- Tournament: FIFA World Cup
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao +230, Real Madrid +125, draw +240
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-110/-104)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Athletic Bilbao: 32.1%
- Real Madrid: 41.7%
- Draw: 26.2%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' international soccer ratings system, designed to help bettors navigate World Cup predictions with greater confidence and clarity.
Correct score
The most likely correct score for this match is Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Madrid.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction
Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.7%.
For full access to Dimers' World Cup best bets and to find out who will win the World Cup, unlock the complete experience with Dimers Pro.
Summary
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Madrid prediction aims to turn World Cup chaos into clarity. Our coverage is grounded in repeatable logic, data-driven analysis, and consistent tournament-wide modeling—not headlines or hunches.
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