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Alaves vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Girona at the La Liga on January 11, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Girona
1
0
Jan 11, 1PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Jan 11, 1PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
GironaGIR
J. E. Solis Romero (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
GIR
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by J. E. Solis Romero
1-0
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Villalibre replaces M. Sanchez
81'
Yellow Card
C. Stuani (Girona) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: J. E. Solis Romero replaces B. Gil
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Martinez replaces K. Garcia
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: V. Tsygankov replaces D. van de Beek
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces A. Ruiz
55'
Yellow Card
J. Guridi (Alaves) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
L. Krejci (Girona) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: O. Romeu replaces I. Martin
45'
Yellow Card
Y. Herrera (Girona) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
A. Danjuma (Girona) cautioned
33'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Danjuma replaces M. Gutierrez
30'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Conechny replaces C. Martin
30'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces Joan Jordan

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Alaves vs. Girona: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Girona prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Girona
  • Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +220, Girona +145, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+125/-150)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 30.1%
  • Girona: 42.9%
  • Draw: 27.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-1 Girona, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 30.1% probability, while Girona sits at 42.9%, with the draw at 27.0%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Girona prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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