Valencia vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Valencia vs. Alaves at the La Liga on December 22, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Alaves
2
:
2
Dec 22, 1PM Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
Valencia
Dec 22, 1PM Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ValenciaVCF
Score Summary
AlavesALA
L. Rioja (pen.) (70')
Soccer ball icon
D. Gomez (90')
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C. Martin (7')
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Joan Jordan (pen.) (88')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VCF
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by D. Gomez, assisted by D. Lopez
2-2
90'
Yellow Card
Pepelu (Valencia) cautioned
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by Joan Jordan (pen.)
2-1
86'
Yellow Card
C. Mosquera (Valencia) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Sedlar replaces A. Pica
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces Stoichkov
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: T. Conechny replaces C. Martin
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: Pepelu replaces E. Barrenechea
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: D. Gomez replaces J. Guerra
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Valencia by L. Rioja (pen.)
1-1
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Owono replaces A. Sivera
44'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: S. Canos replaces F. Perez
22'
Yellow Card
C. Martin (Alaves) cautioned
17'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Stoichkov replaces J. Guridi
7'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by C. Martin
1-0

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Valencia vs. Alaves: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Valencia vs. Alaves prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Valencia vs. Alaves
  • Date: Sunday, December 22, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mestalla
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Valencia +110, Alaves +300, draw +215
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+148/-177)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Valencia: 45.7%
  • Alaves: 26.8%
  • Draw: 27.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Valencia 1-0 Alaves, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Valencia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 45.7% probability, while Alaves sits at 26.8%, with the draw at 27.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Valencia vs. Alaves prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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