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Villareal vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Villareal vs. Real Madrid at the La Liga on May 19, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Real Madrid
4
:
4
May 19, 5PM Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica (Villarreal)
Villareal
May 19, 5PM Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica (Villarreal)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
VillarealVIL
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
A. Sorloth (39')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sorloth (48')
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A. Sorloth (52')
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A. Sorloth (56')
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A. Guler (14')
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Joselu (30')
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Lucas (40')
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A. Guler (45')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
RMA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Marcelino (Villarreal) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
D. Ceballos (Real Madrid) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
B. Traore (Villarreal) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: M. Martin replaces L. Modric
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: R. Terrats replaces A. Moreno
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: E. Capoue replaces G. Moreno
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Rodrygo replaces B. Diaz
66'
Yellow Card
E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) cautioned
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: E. Camavinga replaces F. Valverde
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: N. Fernandez replaces E. Militao
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by G. Moreno
4-4
52'
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Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by G. Moreno
4-3
48'
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Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by G. Moreno
4-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: R. Albiol replaces J. Cuenca
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: F. Coquelin replaces D. Parejo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: B. Traore replaces I. Akhomach
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Guler, assisted by Lucas
4-1
45'
Yellow Card
A. Moreno (Villarreal) cautioned
40'
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Goal scored for Real Madrid by Lucas, assisted by B. Diaz
3-1
39'
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Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by Y. Mosquera
2-1
30'
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Goal scored for Real Madrid by Joselu, assisted by Lucas
2-0
14'
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Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Guler, assisted by B. Diaz
1-0

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Villareal vs. Real Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Villareal vs. Real Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Villareal vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, May 19, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de la CerĂ¡mica
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Villareal +195, Real Madrid +120, draw +285

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Villareal: 31.5%
  • Real Madrid: 45.6%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Villareal 1-1 Real Madrid, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Villareal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.5% probability, while Real Madrid sits at 45.6%, with the draw at 22.9%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Villareal vs. Real Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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