Real Madrid vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Real Madrid vs. Alaves at the La Liga on May 14, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Alaves
0
5
May 14, 7:30PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
May 14, 7:30PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
AlavesALA
J. Bellingham (10')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (27')
Soccer ball icon
F. Valverde (45')
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Vinicius Junior (70')
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A. Guler (81')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: M. Martin replaces F. Valverde
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Guler
0-5
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Rebbach replaces S. Omorodion
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Rudiger replaces E. Militao
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces T. Kroos
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Panichelli replaces I. Hagi
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by J. Bellingham
0-4
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: X. Alkain replaces A. Sola
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Guridi replaces A. Guevara
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Guler replaces E. Camavinga
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: N. Tenaglia replaces A. Gorosabel
52'
Yellow Card
Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid) cautioned
50'
Yellow Card
R. Duarte (Alaves) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by F. Valverde, assisted by J. Bellingham
0-3
27'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by E. Camavinga
0-2
10'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by J. Bellingham, assisted by T. Kroos
0-1

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Real Madrid vs. Alaves: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Alaves prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Alaves
  • Date: Tuesday, May 14, 2024
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -450, Alaves +1200, draw +600

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 72.5%
  • Alaves: 10.8%
  • Draw: 16.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Real Madrid 2-0 Alaves, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 72.5% probability, while Alaves sits at 10.8%, with the draw at 16.6%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Alaves prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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