Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao at the La Liga on April 27, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.

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FINAL

LA LIGA

FINAL

LA LIGA

Athletic Bilbao

Apr 27, 7PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)

Atletico Madrid

Apr 27, 7PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)

In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play

Game PredictionsPre-Game

Best Bets

Atletico MadridATM

Score Summary

Athletic BilbaoBIL

R. de Paul (15')

A. Correa (52')

U. Simon (o.g.) (80')

N. Williams (45')

Live Probabilities

Moneyline

Over / Under

Win %

ATM

100.0%

Draw

0.0%

BIL

0.0%

Win Probability

Match Timeline

90'

M. Hermoso (Atl. Madrid) cautioned

90'

A. Griezmann (Atl. Madrid) cautioned

82'

Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces M. Llorente

82'

Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Azpilicueta replaces R. de Paul

81'

Substitution for Ath Bilbao: R. Garcia replaces I. Williams

80'

Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by U. Simon (o.g.)

1-3

77'

Substitution for Atl. Madrid: P. Barrios replaces A. Correa

71'

A. Paredes (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

69'

Substitution for Ath Bilbao: M. Vesga replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta

67'

Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces N. Molina

66'

Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces O. Sancet

66'

Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Herrera replaces Y. Alvarez

66'

Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Muniain replaces G. Guruzeta

60'

O. Sancet (Ath Bilbao) cautioned

52'

Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Correa, assisted by Koke

1-2

45'

Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by N. Williams, assisted by G. Guruzeta

1-1

15'

Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by R. de Paul

0-1

R. de Paul (Atl. Madrid) cautioned

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Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao
Date: Saturday, April 27, 2024
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -105, Athletic Bilbao +340, draw +250
Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+108/-114)

Dimers' win probabilities

Atletico Madrid: 47.6%
Athletic Bilbao: 26.3%
Draw: 26.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Athletic Bilbao, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 47.6% probability, while Athletic Bilbao sits at 26.3%, with the draw at 26.2%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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