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Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid at the La Liga on April 21, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Atletico Madrid
0
2
Apr 21, 4:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Apr 21, 4:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
C. Benavidez (15')
Soccer ball icon
L. Rioja (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Rioja, assisted by C. Vicente
0-2
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Rioja replaces A. Gorosabel
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Raihani replaces S. Savic
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Hermoso replaces N. Molina
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: J. Panichelli replaces K. Garcia
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces G. Simeone
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Guevara replaces J. Guridi
68'
Yellow Card
R. Marin (Alaves) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
S. Savic (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces P. Barrios
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Mandava replaces C. Azpilicueta
50'
Yellow Card
C. Azpilicueta (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
C. Benavidez (Alaves) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces R. de Paul
45'
Yellow Card
A. Correa (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
A. Abqar (Alaves) cautioned
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by C. Benavidez, assisted by K. Garcia
0-1
6'
Yellow Card
J. Lopez (Alaves) cautioned
2'
Yellow Card
J. Guridi (Alaves) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +390, Atletico Madrid -115, draw +245
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+130/-152)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 22.5%
  • Atletico Madrid: 51.8%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 0-1 Atletico Madrid, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.5% probability, while Atletico Madrid sits at 51.8%, with the draw at 25.8%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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