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Atletico Madrid vs. Girona Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Girona at the La Liga on April 13, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Girona
1
3
Apr 13, 12PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Apr 13, 12PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
GironaGIR
A. Griezmann (pen.) (34')
Soccer ball icon
A. Correa (45')
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A. Griezmann (50')
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A. Dovbyk (4')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
GIR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
M. Llorente (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces A. Dovbyk
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Valery replaces Savio
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Azpilicueta replaces R. de Paul
70'
Yellow Card
Y. Couto (Girona) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Lino replaces R. Riquelme
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Llorente replaces A. Griezmann
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: Portu replaces Y. Herrera
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: A. Martinez replaces D. Lopez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Girona: P. Torre replaces J. E. Solis Romero
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann
1-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Witsel replaces R. Mandava
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Correa, assisted by A. Morata
1-2
41'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Morata replaces S. Niguez
35'
Yellow Card
A. Correa (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
34'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann (pen.)
1-1
32'
Yellow Card
Y. Herrera (Girona) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
D. Simeone (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
25'
Yellow Card
S. Niguez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Girona by A. Dovbyk, assisted by Y. Couto
1-0

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Atletico Madrid vs. Girona: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Girona prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Girona
  • Date: Saturday, April 13, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -115, Girona +300, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+124)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 50.9%
  • Girona: 25.6%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 1-1 Girona, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 50.9% probability, while Girona sits at 25.6%, with the draw at 23.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Girona prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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