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Osasuna vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Osasuna vs. Alaves at the La Liga on March 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Alaves
0
1
Mar 4, 8PM Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Iruñea))
Osasuna
Mar 4, 8PM Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Iruñea))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
OsasunaOSA
Score Summary
AlavesALA
A. Budimir (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
OSA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: I. Hagi replaces L. Rioja
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: P. Ibanez replaces R. Garcia
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Budimir
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces A. Oroz
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Osasuna by A. Budimir, assisted by R. Garcia
0-1
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: G. Simeone replaces S. Omorodion
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: U. Garcia replaces D. Garcia
51'
Yellow Card
C. Vicente (Alaves) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: K. Garcia replaces J. Guridi
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces A. Sola
45'
Yellow Card
J. Herrando (Osasuna) cautioned
24'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: N. Tenaglia replaces A. Abqar
16'
Yellow Card
L. Torro (Osasuna) cautioned
15'
Substitution
Substitution for Osasuna: M. Gomez replaces K. Barja

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Osasuna vs. Alaves: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Osasuna vs. Alaves prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Osasuna vs. Alaves
  • Date: Monday, March 4, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Sadar
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Osasuna +135, Alaves +240, draw +200

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Osasuna: 43.8%
  • Alaves: 27.8%
  • Draw: 28.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Osasuna 1-0 Alaves, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Osasuna is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 43.8% probability, while Alaves sits at 27.8%, with the draw at 28.4%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Osasuna vs. Alaves prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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