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Girona vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Girona vs. Atletico Madrid at the La Liga on January 3, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
3
4
Jan 3, 8:30PM Estadi Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)
Jan 3, 8:30PM Estadi Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Valery (2')
Savio (26')
D. Blind (39')
I. Martin (90')
A. Morata (14')
A. Morata (44')
A. Morata (54')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
M. Hermoso (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
Goal scored for Girona by I. Martin, assisted by Portu
3-4
Substitution for Girona: Portu replaces Savio
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Azpilicueta replaces A. Morata
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces A. Griezmann
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Depay replaces R. de Paul
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces R. Riquelme
Substitution for Girona: A. Martinez replaces P. Torre
Substitution for Girona: C. Stuani replaces A. Dovbyk
Substitution for Girona: J. E. Solis Romero replaces Valery
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata, assisted by R. de Paul
3-3
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces S. Lino
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata, assisted by R. de Paul
2-3
Goal scored for Girona by D. Blind, assisted by A. Dovbyk
1-3
Goal scored for Girona by Savio
1-2
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata, assisted by A. Griezmann
1-1
Goal scored for Girona by Valery, assisted by P. Torre
0-1
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Girona vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Girona vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Girona vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Wednesday, January 3, 2024
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Girona +165, Atletico Madrid +155, draw +260
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+136)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Girona: 36.7%
- Atletico Madrid: 38.4%
- Draw: 24.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Girona 1-1 Atletico Madrid, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Girona is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 36.7% probability, while Atletico Madrid sits at 38.4%, with the draw at 24.9%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Girona vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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