Alaves vs. Las Palmas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Las Palmas at the La Liga on December 9, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Las Palmas
1
0
Dec 9, 1PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Dec 9, 1PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
Las PalmasLPA
K. Rodriguez (31')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
LPA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
L. Garcia (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Gorosabel (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
Marvin (Las Palmas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
C. Herrera (Las Palmas) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: B. Ramirez replaces A. Moleiro
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: N. Tenaglia replaces A. Abqar
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: U. Ropero replaces L. Rioja
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: K. Garcia replaces A. Blanco
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: C. Herrera replaces M. El Haddadi
73'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Benavidez replaces I. Hagi
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Sola replaces A. Rebbach
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: M. Perrone replaces E. Loiodice
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: Marvin replaces M. Cardona
53'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
48'
Yellow Card
A. Abqar (Alaves) cautioned
33'
Yellow Card
Javier Munoz (Las Palmas) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Las Palmas by K. Rodriguez, assisted by A. Moleiro
1-0
9'
Yellow Card
S. Cardona (Las Palmas) cautioned

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Alaves vs. Las Palmas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Las Palmas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Las Palmas
  • Date: Saturday, December 9, 2023
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +104, Las Palmas +320, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+150/-185)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 43.5%
  • Las Palmas: 27.5%
  • Draw: 29.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-0 Las Palmas, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 43.5% probability, while Las Palmas sits at 27.5%, with the draw at 29.0%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Las Palmas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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