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Burnley vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Leeds Premier League game on October 18, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
0
2
Oct 18, 2PM Turf Moor
Burnley
Oct 18, 2PM Turf Moor
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
LeedsLU
L. Ugochukwu (18')
L. Tchaouna (68')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
H. Mejbri (Burnley) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
P. Struijk (Leeds) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces L. Ugochukwu
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Barnes replaces J. Anthony
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces E. Ampadu
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Laurent replaces Z. Flemming
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: J. Piroe replaces A. Stach
68'
Goal scored for Burnley by L. Tchaouna, assisted by Florentino
0-2
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: D. James replaces B. Aaronson
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces J. Harrison
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Tchaouna replaces J. Bruun Larsen
52'
Yellow Card
J. Anthony (Burnley) cautioned
18'
Goal scored for Burnley by L. Ugochukwu, assisted by K. Walker
0-1

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Burnley vs. Leeds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Leeds
  • Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +260, Leeds +120, Draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+128/-155)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 30.7%
  • Leeds: 41.7%
  • Draw: 27.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 1-1 Leeds, which has a correct score probability of 13%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 30.7%, while Leeds has a win probability of 41.7%. The chance of a draw is 27.6%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Leeds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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