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Chelsea vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Liverpool Premier League match on October 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
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Oct 4, 12:30 PM ET Stamford Bridge
Oct 4, 12:30 PM ET Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Pre-Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
Score Summary
M. Caicedo (14')
M. Cucurella (90')
C. Gakpo (63')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Chelsea
- Liverpool
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Chelsea by M. Cucurella
1-2
E. Maresca (Chelsea) cautioned
Substitution for Liverpool: W. Endo replaces A. Mac Allister
A. Slot (Liverpool) cautioned
D. Szoboszlai (Liverpool) cautioned
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Guiu replaces Joao Pedro
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Gittens replaces A. Garnacho
Substitution for Chelsea: replaces P. Neto
Substitution for Liverpool: H. Ekitike replaces A. Isak
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Hato replaces J. Acheampong
Goal scored for Liverpool by C. Gakpo, assisted by A. Isak
1-1
Substitution for Liverpool: C. Jones replaces I. Konate
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces B. Badiashile
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Wirtz replaces C. Bradley
E. Maresca (Chelsea) cautioned
C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
Goal scored for Chelsea by M. Caicedo, assisted by M. Gusto
0-1
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Chelsea vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: Chelsea vs. Liverpool
- Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Chelsea +190, Liverpool +135, draw +265
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-170/+142)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- Chelsea: 31.5%
- Liverpool: 46.1%
- Draw: 22.4%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool (9.7%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?
The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.
The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.
Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:
- Today's best bets
- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win Chelsea vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score
Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.1%.
The most likely correct score is Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
Responsible gambling
Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Chelsea vs. Liverpool, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.
