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Chelsea vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Liverpool Premier League game on October 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
1
2
Oct 4, 4:30PM Stamford Bridge
Chelsea
Oct 4, 4:30PM Stamford Bridge
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
M. Caicedo (14')
M. Cucurella (90')
C. Gakpo (63')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Chelsea by M. Cucurella
1-2
90'
Yellow Card
E. Maresca (Chelsea) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: W. Endo replaces A. Mac Allister
82'
Yellow Card
A. Slot (Liverpool) cautioned
79'
Yellow Card
D. Szoboszlai (Liverpool) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Guiu replaces Joao Pedro
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Gittens replaces A. Garnacho
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: replaces P. Neto
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: H. Ekitike replaces A. Isak
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Hato replaces J. Acheampong
63'
Goal scored for Liverpool by C. Gakpo, assisted by A. Isak
1-1
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: C. Jones replaces I. Konate
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces B. Badiashile
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Wirtz replaces C. Bradley
40'
Yellow Card
E. Maresca (Chelsea) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
14'
Goal scored for Chelsea by M. Caicedo, assisted by M. Gusto
0-1

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Chelsea vs. Liverpool: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea +190, Liverpool +135, Draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-170/+142)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 31.5%
  • Liverpool: 46.1%
  • Draw: 22.4%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 31.5%, while Liverpool has a win probability of 46.1%. The chance of a draw is 22.4%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Liverpool predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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