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Manchester City vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Manchester City vs. Burnley Premier League game on September 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
1
5
Sep 27, 2PM Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
Manchester City
Sep 27, 2PM Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Manchester CityMNC
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
M. Esteve (o.g.) (12')
M. Nunes (61')
M. Esteve (o.g.) (65')
E. Haaland (90')
E. Haaland (90')
J. Anthony (38')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MNC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BUR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland, assisted by J. Doku
1-4
90'
Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland
1-5
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces Q. Hartman
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: B. Humphreys replaces J. Anthony
83'
Yellow Card
P. Foden (Manchester City) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: B. Silva replaces T. Reijnders
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: R. Lewis replaces N. O'Reilly
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: L. Ugochukwu replaces L. Foster
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Broja replaces J. Cullen
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: N. Ake replaces J. Gvardiol
65'
Goal scored for Manchester City by M. Esteve (o.g.)
1-3
63'
Yellow Card
J. Anthony (Burnley) cautioned
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Tchaouna
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: O. Bobb replaces Savinho
61'
Goal scored for Manchester City by M. Nunes, assisted by E. Haaland
1-2
38'
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Anthony, assisted by Q. Hartman
1-1
30'
Yellow Card
K. Walker (Burnley) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
Q. Hartman (Burnley) cautioned
12'
Goal scored for Manchester City by M. Esteve (o.g.)
0-1

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Manchester City vs. Burnley: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Manchester City vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Manchester City -475, Burnley +1600, Draw +650

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Manchester City: 77.2%
  • Burnley: 8.3%
  • Draw: 14.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Manchester City 2-0 Burnley, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Manchester City a win probability of 77.2%, while Burnley has a win probability of 8.3%. The chance of a draw is 14.5%.

Summary

Our Manchester City vs. Burnley predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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