Leeds vs. Bournemouth Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Leeds vs. Bournemouth Premier League match on September 27, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Bournemouth
2
:
2
Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Leeds
Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
LeedsLU
Score Summary
BournemouthAFC
J. Rodon (37')
Soccer ball icon
S. Longstaff (54')
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A. Semenyo (26')
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E. J. Kroupi (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Leeds
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Bournemouth
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. Ampadu (Leeds) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by E. J. Kroupi, assisted by M. Senesi
    2-2
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    E. J. Kroupi (Bournemouth) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces B. Aaronson
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: E. J. Kroupi replaces T. Adams
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: B. Doak replaces A. Jimenez
  8. 70'
    Yellow Card
    B. Aaronson (Leeds) cautioned
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Harrison replaces N. Okafor
  10. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Scott replaces R. Christie
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: M. Tavernier replaces J. Kluivert
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Bournemouth: D. Brooks replaces A. Adli
  13. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by S. Longstaff
    1-2
  14. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by J. Rodon, assisted by S. Longstaff
    1-1
  15. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Bournemouth by A. Semenyo
    1-0
  16. 12'
    Yellow Card
    A. Jimenez (Bournemouth) cautioned

Leeds vs. Bournemouth: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Leeds vs. Bournemouth
  • Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Leeds +200, Bournemouth +150, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+100/-120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Leeds: 34.6%
  • Bournemouth: 39.1%
  • Draw: 26.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Leeds 1-1 Bournemouth (12.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Leeds vs. Bournemouth? Prediction & correct score

Bournemouth is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.1%.

The most likely correct score is Leeds 1-1 Bournemouth.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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