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Chelsea vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Brighton Premier League game on September 27, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brighton
3
1
Sep 27, 2PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
Sep 27, 2PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
E. Fernandez (24')
T. Chalobah (53')
D. Welbeck (77')
M. De Cuyper (90')
D. Welbeck (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
BHA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
L. Dunk (Brighton) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. P. van Hecke (Brighton) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
B. Badiashile (Chelsea) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
R. Sanchez (Chelsea) cautioned
90'
Goal scored for Brighton by M. De Cuyper, assisted by M. Wieffer
2-1
90'
Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck, assisted by B. Gruda
3-1
90'
Yellow Card
D. Welbeck (Brighton) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: S. Tzimas replaces D. Gomez
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: M. De Cuyper replaces G. Rutter
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: B. Badiashile replaces J. Hato
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Lavia replaces P. Neto
77'
Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck, assisted by Y. Minteh
1-1
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: D. Welbeck replaces K. Mitoma
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: B. Gruda replaces C. Baleba
66'
Yellow Card
R. James (Chelsea) cautioned
65'
Yellow Card
M. Wieffer (Brighton) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: replaces M. Gusto
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: M. Wieffer replaces J. Veltman
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Acheampong replaces Andrey Santos
53'
Red Card
T. Chalobah (Chelsea) sent off with a straight red card
42'
Yellow Card
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
24'
Goal scored for Chelsea by E. Fernandez
0-1
9'
Yellow Card
J. Veltman (Brighton) cautioned

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Chelsea vs. Brighton: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Brighton
  • Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea +100, Brighton +265, Draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-145/+120)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 54.9%
  • Brighton: 22.9%
  • Draw: 22.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 1-1 Brighton, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 54.9%, while Brighton has a win probability of 22.9%. The chance of a draw is 22.2%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Brighton predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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