Wolves vs. Leeds Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Wolves vs. Leeds Premier League match on September 20, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leeds
3
1
Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton, West Midlands)
Wolves
Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton, West Midlands)
WolvesWOL
Score Summary
LeedsLU
L. Krejci (8')
Soccer ball icon
D. Calvert-Lewin (31')
Soccer ball icon
A. Stach (39')
Soccer ball icon
N. Okafor (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Wolves
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Leeds
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: L. Nmecha replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: I. Gruev replaces B. Aaronson
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: A. Tanaka replaces S. Longstaff
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Justin replaces J. Bogle
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Wolves: Andre replaces Toti
  6. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Wolves: J. Arias replaces Y. Mosquera
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Leeds: J. Harrison replaces N. Okafor
  8. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Wolves: J. S. Larsen replaces F. Lopez
  9. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Wolves: H. Bueno replaces R. Gomes
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Wolves: M. Munetsi replaces J. Bellegarde
  11. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by N. Okafor, assisted by A. Stach
    3-1
  12. 41'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bogle (Leeds) cautioned
  13. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by A. Stach
    2-1
  14. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Leeds by D. Calvert-Lewin
    1-1
  15. 12'
    Yellow Card
    F. Lopez (Wolves) cautioned
  16. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Wolves by L. Krejci, assisted by F. Lopez
    0-1

Wolves vs. Leeds: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Wolves vs. Leeds
  • Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Molineux Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Wolves +200, Leeds +160, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-165)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Wolves: 38.3%
  • Leeds: 33.9%
  • Draw: 27.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Wolves 1-1 Leeds (13.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Wolves vs. Leeds? Prediction & correct score

Wolves is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 38.3%.

The most likely correct score is Wolves 1-1 Leeds.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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