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Sunderland vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Sunderland vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on September 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
1
:
1
Sep 21, 1PM Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
Sunderland
Sep 21, 1PM Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SunderlandSUN
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
R. Mandava (33')
W. Isidor (75')
M. Cash (67')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SUN
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: D. Neil replaces N. Sadiki
88'
Yellow Card
G. Xhaka (Sunderland) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces M. Rogers
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces B. Kamara
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: L. Geertruida replaces E. Le Fee
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: E. Mayenda replaces W. Isidor
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: A. Masuaku replaces C. Talbi
75'
Goal scored for Sunderland by W. Isidor, assisted by G. Xhaka
1-1
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces E. Guessand
67'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Cash, assisted by B. Kamara
1-0
63'
Yellow Card
I. Maatsen (Aston Villa) cautioned
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: H. Elliott replaces L. Digne
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces E. Buendia
37'
Substitution
Substitution for Sunderland: D. Ballard replaces C. Rigg
33'
Red Card
R. Mandava (Sunderland) sent off with a straight red card

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Sunderland vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Sunderland vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stadium of Light

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Sunderland +300, Aston Villa +100, Draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (+105/-115)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Sunderland: 25.4%
  • Aston Villa: 49.3%
  • Draw: 25.2%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Sunderland 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Sunderland a win probability of 25.4%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 49.3%. The chance of a draw is 25.2%.

Summary

Our Sunderland vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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