Sunderland vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sunderland vs. Aston Villa Premier League match on September 21, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Aston Villa
1
:
1
Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
Sunderland
Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
SunderlandSUN
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
R. Mandava (33')
Red Card icon
W. Isidor (75')
Soccer ball icon
M. Cash (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sunderland
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Aston Villa
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: D. Neil replaces N. Sadiki
  2. 88'
    Yellow Card
    G. Xhaka (Sunderland) cautioned
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces M. Rogers
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bogarde replaces B. Kamara
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: L. Geertruida replaces E. Le Fee
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: E. Mayenda replaces W. Isidor
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: A. Masuaku replaces C. Talbi
  8. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sunderland by W. Isidor, assisted by G. Xhaka
    1-1
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces E. Guessand
  10. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Cash, assisted by B. Kamara
    1-0
  11. 63'
    Yellow Card
    I. Maatsen (Aston Villa) cautioned
  12. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: H. Elliott replaces L. Digne
  13. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces E. Buendia
  14. 37'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sunderland: D. Ballard replaces C. Rigg
  15. 33'
    Red Card
    R. Mandava (Sunderland) sent off with a straight red card

Sunderland vs. Aston Villa: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sunderland vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Stadium of Light

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sunderland +300, Aston Villa +100, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+105/-115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sunderland: 25.4%
  • Aston Villa: 49.3%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sunderland 1-1 Aston Villa (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Sunderland vs. Aston Villa? Prediction & correct score

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.3%.

The most likely correct score is Sunderland 1-1 Aston Villa.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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