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Manchester United vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Manchester United vs. Chelsea Premier League game on September 20, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
1
2
Sep 20, 4:30PM Old Trafford (Manchester)
Manchester United
Sep 20, 4:30PM Old Trafford (Manchester)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Manchester UnitedMNU
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
B. Fernandes (14')
Casemiro (37')
Casemiro (45')
R. Sanchez (5')
T. Chalobah (80')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MNU
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
T. Adarabioyo (Chelsea) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: K. Mainoo replaces B. Fernandes
80'
Goal scored for Chelsea by T. Chalobah, assisted by R. James
1-2
72'
Yellow Card
T. George (Chelsea) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: L. Yoro replaces H. Maguire
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Mount replaces B. Mbeumo
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Cunha replaces N. Mazraoui
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: T. George replaces W. Fofana
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces M. Cucurella
50'
Yellow Card
T. Chalobah (Chelsea) cautioned
48'
Yellow Card
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Ugarte replaces B. Sesko
45'
Red Card
Casemiro (Manchester Utd) sent off for a second yellow card
44'
Yellow Card
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
37'
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by Casemiro, assisted by H. Maguire
0-2
21'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: Andrey Santos replaces C. Palmer
17'
Yellow Card
Casemiro (Manchester Utd) cautioned
14'
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Fernandes, assisted by P. Dorgu
0-1
7'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Adarabioyo replaces P. Neto
6'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: replaces F. Jorgensen
5'
Red Card
R. Sanchez (Chelsea) sent off with a straight red card

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Manchester United vs. Chelsea: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Manchester United vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Old Trafford

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Manchester United +165, Chelsea +150, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-169/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Manchester United: 35.1%
  • Chelsea: 41.5%
  • Draw: 23.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Manchester United a win probability of 35.1%, while Chelsea has a win probability of 41.5%. The chance of a draw is 23.5%.

Summary

Our Manchester United vs. Chelsea predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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