Manchester United vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Manchester United vs. Chelsea Premier League match on September 20, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
1
2
Old Trafford (Manchester)
Manchester United
Old Trafford (Manchester)
Manchester UnitedMNU
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
B. Fernandes (14')
Soccer ball icon
Casemiro (37')
Soccer ball icon
Casemiro (45')
Red Card icon
R. Sanchez (5')
Red Card icon
T. Chalobah (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Manchester United
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Chelsea
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    T. Adarabioyo (Chelsea) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: K. Mainoo replaces B. Fernandes
  3. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chelsea by T. Chalobah, assisted by R. James
    1-2
  4. 72'
    Yellow Card
    T. George (Chelsea) cautioned
  5. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: L. Yoro replaces H. Maguire
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Mount replaces B. Mbeumo
  7. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Cunha replaces N. Mazraoui
  8. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: T. George replaces W. Fofana
  9. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces M. Cucurella
  10. 50'
    Yellow Card
    T. Chalobah (Chelsea) cautioned
  11. 48'
    Yellow Card
    E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester Utd: M. Ugarte replaces B. Sesko
  13. 45'
    Red Card
    Casemiro (Manchester Utd) sent off for a second yellow card
  14. 44'
    Yellow Card
    M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
  15. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by Casemiro, assisted by H. Maguire
    0-2
  16. 21'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: Andrey Santos replaces C. Palmer
  17. 17'
    Yellow Card
    Casemiro (Manchester Utd) cautioned
  18. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester Utd by B. Fernandes, assisted by P. Dorgu
    0-1
  19. 7'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: T. Adarabioyo replaces P. Neto
  20. 6'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chelsea: replaces F. Jorgensen
  21. 5'
    Red Card
    R. Sanchez (Chelsea) sent off with a straight red card

Manchester United vs. Chelsea: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Manchester United vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Saturday, September 20, 2025
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Old Trafford

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Manchester United +165, Chelsea +150, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-169/+130)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Manchester United: 35.1%
  • Chelsea: 41.5%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Manchester United vs. Chelsea? Prediction & correct score

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.5%.

The most likely correct score is Manchester United 1-1 Chelsea.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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