Arsenal vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Manchester City Premier League match on September 21, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
1
:
1
Emirates Stadium (London)
Arsenal
Emirates Stadium (London)
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
G. Martinelli (90')
Soccer ball icon
E. Haaland (9')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Arsenal
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Manchester City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Arsenal by G. Martinelli, assisted by E. Eze
    1-1
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: C. Mosquera replaces M. Zubimendi
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: J. Stones replaces N. O'Reilly
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces J. Doku
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nwaneri replaces L. Trossard
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces J. Timber
  7. 77'
    Yellow Card
    G. Donnarumma (Manchester City) cautioned
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: Nico replaces E. Haaland
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: N. Ake replaces P. Foden
  10. 67'
    Yellow Card
    P. Guardiola (Manchester City) cautioned
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: E. Eze replaces M. Merino
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Arsenal: B. Saka replaces N. Madueke
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Manchester City: M. Nunes replaces A. Khusanov
  14. 46'
    Yellow Card
    J. Timber (Arsenal) cautioned
  15. 36'
    Yellow Card
    B. Silva (Manchester City) cautioned
  16. 9'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland, assisted by T. Reijnders
    1-0

Arsenal vs. Manchester City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal +105, Manchester City +270, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+106)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Arsenal: 49.3%
  • Manchester City: 26.3%
  • Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Arsenal vs. Manchester City? Prediction & correct score

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.3%.

The most likely correct score is Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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