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Arsenal vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Manchester City Premier League game on September 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
1
:
1
Sep 21, 3:30PM Emirates Stadium (London)
Arsenal
Sep 21, 3:30PM Emirates Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
G. Martinelli (90')
E. Haaland (9')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
MNC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Arsenal by G. Martinelli, assisted by E. Eze
1-1
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: C. Mosquera replaces M. Zubimendi
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: J. Stones replaces N. O'Reilly
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Savinho replaces J. Doku
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nwaneri replaces L. Trossard
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces J. Timber
77'
Yellow Card
G. Donnarumma (Manchester City) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Nico replaces E. Haaland
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: N. Ake replaces P. Foden
67'
Yellow Card
P. Guardiola (Manchester City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Eze replaces M. Merino
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: B. Saka replaces N. Madueke
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: M. Nunes replaces A. Khusanov
46'
Yellow Card
J. Timber (Arsenal) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
B. Silva (Manchester City) cautioned
9'
Goal scored for Manchester City by E. Haaland, assisted by T. Reijnders
1-0

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Arsenal vs. Manchester City: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Sunday, September 21, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Arsenal +105, Manchester City +270, Draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-130/+106)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Arsenal: 49.3%
  • Manchester City: 26.3%
  • Draw: 24.4%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Arsenal 1-1 Manchester City, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Arsenal a win probability of 49.3%, while Manchester City has a win probability of 26.3%. The chance of a draw is 24.4%.

Summary

Our Arsenal vs. Manchester City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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