Burnley vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Liverpool Premier League match on September 14, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Liverpool
1
0
Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
Turf Moor (Burnley)
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
L. Ugochukwu (84')
Red Card icon
M. Salah (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Burnley
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Liverpool
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Liverpool by M. Salah (pen.)
    1-0
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: A. Broja replaces J. Anthony
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces F. Wirtz
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: J. Frimpong replaces I. Konate
  5. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: J. Worrall replaces L. Foster
  6. 84'
    Red Card
    L. Ugochukwu (Burnley) sent off for a second yellow card
  7. 76'
    Yellow Card
    C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces H. Ekitike
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces L. Tchaouna
  10. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Burnley: Florentino replaces J. Cullen
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: C. Bradley replaces A. Mac Allister
  12. 38'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
  13. 22'
    Yellow Card
    M. Kerkez (Liverpool) cautioned
  14. 16'
    Yellow Card
    L. Ugochukwu (Burnley) cautioned

Burnley vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley +850, Liverpool -300, draw +490

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Burnley: 9.8%
  • Liverpool: 74.6%
  • Draw: 15.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Burnley vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 74.6%.

The most likely correct score is Burnley 0-2 Liverpool.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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