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Burnley vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Liverpool Premier League game on September 14, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
1
0
Sep 14, 1PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
Sep 14, 1PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
L. Ugochukwu (84')
M. Salah (pen.) (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
LFC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Liverpool by M. Salah (pen.)
1-0
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Broja replaces J. Anthony
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces F. Wirtz
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: J. Frimpong replaces I. Konate
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Worrall replaces L. Foster
84'
Red Card
L. Ugochukwu (Burnley) sent off for a second yellow card
76'
Yellow Card
C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces H. Ekitike
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces L. Tchaouna
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Florentino replaces J. Cullen
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: C. Bradley replaces A. Mac Allister
38'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
22'
Yellow Card
M. Kerkez (Liverpool) cautioned
16'
Yellow Card
L. Ugochukwu (Burnley) cautioned

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Burnley vs. Liverpool: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +850, Liverpool -300, Draw +490

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 9.8%
  • Liverpool: 74.6%
  • Draw: 15.6%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 0-2 Liverpool, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 9.8%, while Liverpool has a win probability of 74.6%. The chance of a draw is 15.6%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Liverpool predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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