Burnley vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Liverpool Premier League match on September 14, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
EPL sport icon
PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
1
0
Sep 14, 9:00 AM ET Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
Sep 14, 9:00 AM ET Turf Moor (Burnley)
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
L. Ugochukwu (84')
Red Card icon
M. Salah (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Burnley
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Liverpool
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by M. Salah (pen.)
1-0
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Broja replaces J. Anthony
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces F. Wirtz
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: J. Frimpong replaces I. Konate
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Worrall replaces L. Foster
84'
Red Card
L. Ugochukwu (Burnley) sent off for a second yellow card
76'
Yellow Card
C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces H. Ekitike
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Mejbri replaces L. Tchaouna
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Florentino replaces J. Cullen
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: C. Bradley replaces A. Mac Allister
38'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Robertson replaces M. Kerkez
22'
Yellow Card
M. Kerkez (Liverpool) cautioned
16'
Yellow Card
L. Ugochukwu (Burnley) cautioned

Featured offers

Swipe iconSwipe across to view more offers
logo
RECOMMENDED
Deposit $20, Get $50 in Trading Bonus!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
FEATURED
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets *Paid Within 14 Days
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
TRENDING
Bet $10 Get $150 in Bonus Bets
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW
Trade $10, Get $20 with Code DIMERS
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
LIMITED-TIME
Register with code DIMERS150 to unlock $150 in bonus bets by winning your first $10 bet
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Double Your Winnings on your Next 10 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
RECOMMENDED
Code DIMERS: Trade $10, Get $10
T&Cs apply.
How to claim
logo
NEW PLAYERS
Get Up To $250 Back in Bonus Bets If Your First Bet Loses
T&Cs apply.
How to claim

Burnley vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley +850, Liverpool -300, draw +490

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Burnley: 9.8%
  • Liverpool: 74.6%
  • Draw: 15.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Burnley 0-2 Liverpool (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Who will win Burnley vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 74.6%.

The most likely correct score is Burnley 0-2 Liverpool.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Burnley vs. Liverpool, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.