Newcastle vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Newcastle vs. Liverpool Premier League match on August 25, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
3
2
Aug 25, 3:00 PM ET St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Aug 25, 3:00 PM ET St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
A. Gordon (45')
Red Card icon
Bruno Guimaraes (57')
Soccer ball icon
W. Osula (88')
Soccer ball icon
R. Gravenberch (35')
Soccer ball icon
H. Ekitike (46')
Soccer ball icon
R. Ngumoha (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Newcastle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Liverpool
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: R. Ngumoha replaces C. Gakpo
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: H. Elliott replaces C. Jones
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by R. Ngumoha, assisted by M. Salah
3-2
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: W. Endo replaces M. Salah
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by W. Osula
2-2
87'
Yellow Card
C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Thiaw replaces F. Schar
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: C. Bradley replaces F. Wirtz
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces H. Ekitike
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Ramsey replaces Joelinton
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces H. Barnes
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Hall replaces K. Trippier
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Miley replaces S. Tonali
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by Bruno Guimaraes, assisted by V. Livramento
2-1
48'
Yellow Card
Bruno Guimaraes (Newcastle) cautioned
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by H. Ekitike, assisted by C. Gakpo
2-0
45'
Red Card
A. Gordon (Newcastle) sent off with a straight red card
44'
Yellow Card
D. Burn (Newcastle) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by R. Gravenberch, assisted by C. Gakpo
1-0
25'
Yellow Card
I. Konate (Liverpool) cautioned
8'
Yellow Card
R. Gravenberch (Liverpool) cautioned

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Newcastle vs. Liverpool: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Monday, August 25, 2025
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle +195, Liverpool +130, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-161/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Newcastle: 28.7%
  • Liverpool: 48.6%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' Premier League data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Newcastle 1-1 Liverpool (10.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Newcastle vs. Liverpool? Prediction & correct score

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.6%.

The most likely correct score is Newcastle 1-1 Liverpool.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Newcastle vs. Liverpool, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.