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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Premier League game on August 16, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
0
:
0
Aug 16, 11:30AM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Aug 16, 11:30AM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
E. Konsa (66')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
NEW
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: W. Osula replaces H. Barnes
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces J. McGinn
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Miley replaces Joelinton
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces A. Elanga
66'
Red Card
E. Konsa (Aston Villa) sent off with a straight red card
58'
Yellow Card
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned

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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Saturday, August 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +143, Newcastle +200, Draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-130/+116)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 42.8%
  • Newcastle: 32.3%
  • Draw: 24.9%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Newcastle, which has a correct score probability of 12%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 42.8%, while Newcastle has a win probability of 32.3%. The chance of a draw is 24.9%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Newcastle predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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