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Liverpool vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Liverpool vs. Arsenal at the Premier League on May 11, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
2
:
2
May 11, 3:30PM Anfield (Liverpool)
Liverpool
May 11, 3:30PM Anfield (Liverpool)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
LiverpoolLFC
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
C. Gakpo (20')
Soccer ball icon
L. Diaz (21')
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G. Martinelli (47')
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M. Merino (70')
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M. Merino (79')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LFC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ARS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: O. Zinchenko replaces B. Saka
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: H. Elliott replaces R. Gravenberch
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: Diogo Jota replaces L. Diaz
79'
Red Card
M. Merino (Arsenal) sent off for a second yellow card
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: K. Tierney replaces L. Trossard
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Calafiori replaces B. White
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by M. Merino
2-2
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: T. Alexander-Arnold replaces C. Bradley
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: D. Nunez replaces C. Jones
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces C. Gakpo
60'
Yellow Card
C. Bradley (Liverpool) cautioned
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by G. Martinelli, assisted by L. Trossard
1-2
43'
Yellow Card
M. Lewis-Skelly (Arsenal) cautioned
34'
Yellow Card
M. Merino (Arsenal) cautioned
21'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by L. Diaz, assisted by D. Szoboszlai
0-2
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by C. Gakpo, assisted by A. Robertson
0-1

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Liverpool vs. Arsenal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Liverpool vs. Arsenal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Liverpool vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Sunday, May 11, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Anfield
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Liverpool +125, Arsenal +215, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Liverpool: 37.2%
  • Arsenal: 38.3%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Liverpool 1-1 Arsenal, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Liverpool is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.2% probability, while Arsenal sits at 38.3%, with the draw at 24.5%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Liverpool vs. Arsenal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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