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Chelsea vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Chelsea vs. Liverpool Premier League game on May 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
1
3
May 4, 3:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
May 4, 3:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
E. Fernandez (3')
J. Quansah (o.g.) (56')
C. Palmer (pen.) (90')
V. van Dijk (85')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLiverpoolChelseaDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityLiverpoolChelseaHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer (pen.)
1-3
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces E. Fernandez
85'
Goal scored for Liverpool by V. van Dijk, assisted by A. Mac Allister
1-2
84'
Yellow Card
J. Sancho (Chelsea) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces K. Tsimikas
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces R. Lavia
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Sancho replaces N. Jackson
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: D. Szoboszlai replaces H. Elliott
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces W. Endo
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: C. Bradley replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: D. Nunez replaces Diogo Jota
58'
Yellow Card
J. Quansah (Liverpool) cautioned
56'
Goal scored for Chelsea by J. Quansah (o.g.)
0-2
54'
Yellow Card
T. Chalobah (Chelsea) cautioned
51'
Yellow Card
V. van Dijk (Liverpool) cautioned
3'
Goal scored for Chelsea by E. Fernandez, assisted by P. Neto
0-1

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Chelsea vs. Liverpool: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Chelsea +150, Liverpool +190, Draw +275

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Chelsea: 37.9%
  • Liverpool: 38.8%
  • Draw: 23.3%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Chelsea a win probability of 37.9%, while Liverpool has a win probability of 38.8%. The chance of a draw is 23.3%.

Summary

Our Chelsea vs. Liverpool predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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