Chelsea vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chelsea vs. Liverpool at the Premier League on May 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Liverpool
1
3
May 4, 3:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
May 4, 3:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
E. Fernandez (3')
Soccer ball icon
J. Quansah (o.g.) (56')
Soccer ball icon
C. Palmer (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
V. van Dijk (85')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer (pen.)
1-3
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. James replaces E. Fernandez
85'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by V. van Dijk, assisted by A. Mac Allister
1-2
84'
Yellow Card
J. Sancho (Chelsea) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: F. Chiesa replaces K. Tsimikas
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces R. Lavia
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: J. Sancho replaces N. Jackson
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: D. Szoboszlai replaces H. Elliott
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: A. Mac Allister replaces W. Endo
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: C. Bradley replaces T. Alexander-Arnold
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: D. Nunez replaces Diogo Jota
58'
Yellow Card
J. Quansah (Liverpool) cautioned
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by J. Quansah (o.g.)
0-2
54'
Yellow Card
T. Chalobah (Chelsea) cautioned
51'
Yellow Card
V. van Dijk (Liverpool) cautioned
3'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by E. Fernandez, assisted by P. Neto
0-1

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Chelsea vs. Liverpool: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Liverpool prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea +150, Liverpool +190, draw +275

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chelsea: 37.9%
  • Liverpool: 38.8%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.9% probability, while Liverpool sits at 38.8%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Liverpool prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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