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Brighton vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Newcastle Premier League game on May 4, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
1
:
1
May 4, 1PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
Brighton
May 4, 1PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
Y. Minteh (28')
A. Isak (pen.) (89')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
NEW
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: B. Gruda replaces Y. Minteh
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: D. Gomez replaces M. O'Riley
89'
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Isak (pen.)
1-1
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces J. Willock
73'
Yellow Card
J. Willock (Newcastle) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Y. Ayari replaces J. Hinshelwood
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Veltman replaces S. Adingra
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Gordon replaces J. Murphy
54'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: T. Lamptey replaces M. Wieffer
32'
Yellow Card
M. Wieffer (Brighton) cautioned
28'
Goal scored for Brighton by Y. Minteh, assisted by M. Wieffer
0-1

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Brighton vs. Newcastle: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: American Express Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Brighton +210, Newcastle +120, Draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-169/+130)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Brighton: 29.8%
  • Newcastle: 46.6%
  • Draw: 23.5%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Brighton 1-1 Newcastle, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Brighton a win probability of 29.8%, while Newcastle has a win probability of 46.6%. The chance of a draw is 23.5%.

Summary

Our Brighton vs. Newcastle predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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