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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Newcastle at the Premier League on April 19, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
1
4
Apr 19, 4:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Apr 19, 4:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
O. Watkins (1')
I. Maatsen (64')
D. Burn (o.g.) (73')
A. Onana (75')
F. Schar (18')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
J. Ramsey (Aston Villa) cautioned
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Targett replaces F. Schar
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces B. Kamara
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces M. Rogers
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Rashford replaces O. Watkins
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Krafth replaces K. Trippier
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces H. Barnes
Substitution for Newcastle: C. Wilson replaces A. Isak
Goal scored for Aston Villa by A. Onana, assisted by M. Rogers
1-4
Goal scored for Aston Villa by D. Burn (o.g.)
1-3
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Onana replaces M. Asensio
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces J. McGinn
Substitution for Newcastle: A. Gordon replaces J. Murphy
Goal scored for Aston Villa by I. Maatsen, assisted by O. Watkins
1-2
Bruno Guimaraes (Newcastle) cautioned
Joelinton (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Newcastle by F. Schar, assisted by H. Barnes
1-1
F. Schar (Newcastle) cautioned
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Y. Tielemans
0-1
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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Newcastle prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Aston Villa vs. Newcastle
- Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: Villa Park
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Aston Villa +155, Newcastle +175, draw +255
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+135)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Aston Villa: 37.4%
- Newcastle: 38.3%
- Draw: 24.4%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 1-1 Newcastle, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.4% probability, while Newcastle sits at 38.3%, with the draw at 24.4%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Newcastle prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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