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Crystal Palace vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Crystal Palace vs. Brighton at the Premier League on April 5, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brighton
1
2
Apr 5, 2PM Selhurst Park (London)
Crystal Palace
Apr 5, 2PM Selhurst Park (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Crystal PalacePAL
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
J. Mateta (3')
Soccer ball icon
D. Munoz (55')
Soccer ball icon
E. Nketiah (78')
Red Card icon
M. Guehi (90')
Red Card icon
D. Welbeck (31')
Soccer ball icon
J. P. van Hecke (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BHA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Ward replaces M. Lacroix
90'
Red Card
M. Guehi (Crystal Palace) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: M. Wieffer replaces J. Hinshelwood
90'
Red Card
J. P. van Hecke (Brighton) sent off for a second yellow card
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: W. Hughes replaces A. Wharton
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: J. Devenny replaces E. Eze
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Y. Ayari replaces P. Estupinan
80'
Yellow Card
S. March (Brighton) cautioned
78'
Red Card
E. Nketiah (Crystal Palace) sent off for a second yellow card
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: S. March replaces Y. Minteh
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: B. Gruda replaces D. Gomez
69'
Yellow Card
E. Nketiah (Crystal Palace) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: E. Nketiah replaces J. Mateta
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: S. Adingra replaces K. Mitoma
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Joao Pedro replaces M. O'Riley
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Crystal Palace: B. Chilwell replaces T. Mitchell
57'
Yellow Card
M. Guehi (Crystal Palace) cautioned
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Crystal Palace by D. Munoz, assisted by E. Eze
1-2
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by D. Welbeck, assisted by Y. Minteh
1-1
25'
Yellow Card
J. P. van Hecke (Brighton) cautioned
3'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Crystal Palace by J. Mateta, assisted by E. Eze
0-1

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Crystal Palace vs. Brighton: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Crystal Palace vs. Brighton prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Crystal Palace vs. Brighton
  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Selhurst Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Crystal Palace +150, Brighton +190, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/+102)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Crystal Palace: 43.6%
  • Brighton: 31.0%
  • Draw: 25.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Crystal Palace is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 43.6% probability, while Brighton sits at 31.0%, with the draw at 25.5%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Crystal Palace vs. Brighton prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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