Aston Villa vs. Leicester Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Leicester at the Premier League on January 4, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Leicester
1
2
Jan 4, 3PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Jan 4, 3PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
LeicesterLEI
R. Barkley (58')
Soccer ball icon
L. Bailey (76')
Soccer ball icon
S. Mavididi (63')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LEI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Leicester: B. De Cordova-Reid replaces L. Thomas
90'
Yellow Card
B. Soumare (Leicester) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Leicester: F. Buonanotte replaces J. Ayew
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Leicester: C. Okoli replaces C. Coady
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Leicester: P. Daka replaces B. El Khannouss
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Buendia replaces R. Barkley
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces L. Digne
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Bailey, assisted by I. Maatsen
1-2
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Leicester by S. Mavididi
1-1
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Leicester: W. Faes replaces J. Vestergaard
58'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by R. Barkley
0-1
19'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces J. McGinn

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Aston Villa vs. Leicester: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Leicester prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Leicester
  • Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa -300, Leicester +800, draw +450

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 70.7%
  • Leicester: 12.4%
  • Draw: 16.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 2-0 Leicester, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 70.7% probability, while Leicester sits at 12.4%, with the draw at 16.9%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Leicester prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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