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Aston Villa vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Brighton at the Premier League on December 30, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Brighton
2
:
2
Dec 30, 7:45PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Dec 30, 7:45PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
O. Watkins (pen.) (36')
Soccer ball icon
M. Rogers (47')
Soccer ball icon
S. Adingra (12')
Soccer ball icon
T. Lamptey (81')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
BHA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
Igor (Brighton) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Moder replaces C. Baleba
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces Y. Tielemans
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Onana replaces B. Kamara
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces L. Digne
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by T. Lamptey, assisted by Joao Pedro
2-2
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces L. Bailey
73'
Yellow Card
C. Baleba (Brighton) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: M. O'Riley replaces Y. Ayari
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: G. Rutter replaces J. Enciso
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: K. Mitoma replaces S. Adingra
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Y. Minteh replaces B. Gruda
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rogers, assisted by O. Watkins
1-2
45'
Yellow Card
T. Mings (Aston Villa) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
Y. Ayari (Brighton) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins (pen.)
1-1
20'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Mings replaces P. Torres
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by S. Adingra, assisted by Joao Pedro
1-0

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Aston Villa vs. Brighton: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Brighton prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Brighton
  • Date: Monday, December 30, 2024
  • Time: 2:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa -110, Brighton +325, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 55.2%
  • Brighton: 22.6%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 1-1 Brighton, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 55.2% probability, while Brighton sits at 22.6%, with the draw at 22.1%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Brighton prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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