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Brighton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brighton vs. Aston Villa Premier League game on May 5, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Aston Villa
0
1
May 5, 1PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
Brighton
May 5, 1PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Joao Pedro (87')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. De Zerbi (Brighton) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces L. Digne
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: C. Chambers replaces E. Konsa
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: V. Barco replaces S. Adingra
90'
Yellow Card
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: C. Baleba replaces B. Gilmour
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Moder replaces D. Welbeck
87'
Penalty missed by Joao Pedro for Brighton
87'
Goal scored for Brighton by Joao Pedro
0-1
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces M. Diaby
68'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
63'
Yellow Card
S. Adingra (Brighton) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Enciso replaces F. Buonanotte
49'
Yellow Card
P. Gross (Brighton) cautioned
26'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Cash replaces M. Rogers

Game Prediction Article

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Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: American Express Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Brighton +140, Aston Villa +175, Draw +280

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Brighton: 35.9%
  • Aston Villa: 41.0%
  • Draw: 23.1%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Brighton 1-1 Aston Villa, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Brighton a win probability of 35.9%, while Aston Villa has a win probability of 41.0%. The chance of a draw is 23.1%.

Summary

Our Brighton vs. Aston Villa predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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