Brighton vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Brighton vs. Aston Villa at the Premier League on May 5, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
0
1
May 5, 1PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
Brighton
May 5, 1PM American Express Stadium (Falmer, East Sussex)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BrightonBHA
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
Joao Pedro (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BHA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. De Zerbi (Brighton) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces L. Digne
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: C. Chambers replaces E. Konsa
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: V. Barco replaces S. Adingra
90'
Yellow Card
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: C. Baleba replaces B. Gilmour
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Moder replaces D. Welbeck
87'
Penalty missed by Joao Pedro for Brighton
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by Joao Pedro
0-1
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces M. Diaby
68'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
63'
Yellow Card
S. Adingra (Brighton) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: J. Enciso replaces F. Buonanotte
49'
Yellow Card
P. Gross (Brighton) cautioned
26'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Cash replaces M. Rogers

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Brighton vs. Aston Villa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Brighton vs. Aston Villa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Brighton vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: American Express Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Brighton +143, Aston Villa +175, draw +280

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Brighton: 35.9%
  • Aston Villa: 41.0%
  • Draw: 23.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Brighton 1-1 Aston Villa, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Brighton is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 35.9% probability, while Aston Villa sits at 41.0%, with the draw at 23.1%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Brighton vs. Aston Villa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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