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Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth at the Premier League on April 21, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Bournemouth
1
3
Apr 21, 2PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Apr 21, 2PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
BournemouthAFC
M. Rogers (45')
Soccer ball icon
M. Diaby (57')
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L. Bailey (78')
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D. Solanke (pen.) (31')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
AFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces M. Diaby
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: K. Kesler Hayden replaces M. Cash
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Diego Carlos replaces L. Bailey
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: E. Unal replaces D. Ouattara
78'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Bailey, assisted by O. Watkins
1-3
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Scott replaces R. Christie
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: P. Billing replaces J. Kluivert
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: A. Semenyo replaces M. Senesi
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Diaby, assisted by O. Watkins
1-2
56'
Yellow Card
I. Zabarnyi (Bournemouth) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Bournemouth: M. Aarons replaces A. Smith
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rogers, assisted by L. Bailey
1-1
37'
Yellow Card
M. Senesi (Bournemouth) cautioned
31'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Bournemouth by D. Solanke (pen.)
1-0
21'
Yellow Card
A. Smith (Bournemouth) cautioned

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Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth
  • Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa -120, Bournemouth +300, draw +300

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 56.1%
  • Bournemouth: 22.3%
  • Draw: 21.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 56.1% probability, while Bournemouth sits at 22.3%, with the draw at 21.6%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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