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Arsenal vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Arsenal vs. Chelsea at the Premier League on April 23, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
0
5
Apr 23, 7PM Emirates Stadium (London)
Arsenal
Apr 23, 7PM Emirates Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
L. Trossard (4')
Soccer ball icon
B. White (52')
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K. Havertz (57')
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K. Havertz (65')
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B. White (70')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: F. Vieira replaces B. Saka
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Casadei replaces N. Madueke
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Silva replaces A. Gilchrist
76'
Yellow Card
B. White (Arsenal) cautioned
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces L. Trossard
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus replaces K. Havertz
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Jorginho replaces T. Partey
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: O. Zinchenko replaces T. Tomiyasu
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by B. White, assisted by M. Odegaard
0-5
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: T. Chalobah replaces E. Fernandez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Sterling replaces M. Mudryk
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Havertz, assisted by B. Saka
0-4
57'
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Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Havertz, assisted by M. Odegaard
0-3
52'
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Goal scored for Arsenal by B. White
0-2
45'
Yellow Card
L. Trossard (Arsenal) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
M. Arteta (Arsenal) cautioned
43'
Yellow Card
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
A. Gilchrist (Chelsea) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by L. Trossard, assisted by D. Rice
0-1

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Arsenal vs. Chelsea: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Chelsea prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Tuesday, April 23, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -250, Chelsea +700, draw +425
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-192/+142)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Arsenal: 71.2%
  • Chelsea: 11.8%
  • Draw: 16.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Arsenal 2-0 Chelsea, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 71.2% probability, while Chelsea sits at 11.8%, with the draw at 16.9%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Chelsea prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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