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Arsenal vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Arsenal vs. Burnley Premier League game on November 11, 2023 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
1
3
Nov 11, 3PM Emirates Stadium (London)
Arsenal
Nov 11, 3PM Emirates Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
L. Trossard (45')
W. Saliba (57')
O. Zinchenko (74')
F. Vieira (83')
J. Brownhill (54')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BUR
0.0%
Win Probability
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityBurnleyArsenalDrawHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityBurnleyArsenalHTFT0255075100
Created with Highcharts 10.3.3Point of Game% ProbabilityOver 2.5Under 2.5HTFT0255075100
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: J. Kiwior replaces G. Martinelli
90'
Yellow Card
J. B. Gudmundsson (Burnley) cautioned
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: W. Odobert replaces Vitinho
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: M. Obafemi replaces J. Brownhill
83'
Red Card
F. Vieira (Arsenal) sent off with a straight red card
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nketiah replaces L. Trossard
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Nelson replaces B. Saka
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Koleosho
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Ramsey replaces Z. Amdouni
74'
Goal scored for Arsenal by O. Zinchenko
1-3
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: F. Vieira replaces K. Havertz
57'
Goal scored for Arsenal by W. Saliba, assisted by L. Trossard
1-2
54'
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Brownhill
1-1
45'
Goal scored for Arsenal by L. Trossard, assisted by B. Saka
0-1

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Arsenal vs. Burnley: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Arsenal -500, Burnley +1600, Draw +575
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-155/+125)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Arsenal: 77.5%
  • Burnley: 7.7%
  • Draw: 14.8%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Arsenal 2-0 Burnley, which has a correct score probability of 14%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Arsenal a win probability of 77.5%, while Burnley has a win probability of 7.7%. The chance of a draw is 14.8%.

Summary

Our Arsenal vs. Burnley predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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