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D.C. United vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for D.C. United vs. Chicago at the MLS on March 1, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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D.C. United
2
:
2
Mar 2, 1:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Chicago
Mar 2, 1:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
H. Cuypers (30')
Soccer ball icon
H. Cuypers (70')
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C. Benteke (4')
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J. Murrell (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
5.6%
Draw
89.9%
DC
4.5%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Penalty missed by C. Benteke for DC United
90'
Yellow Card
S. Rogers (Chicago Fire) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
D. Schnegg (DC United) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by J. Murrell
2-2
85'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: R. Zouhir replaces H. Kijima
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces S. Williams
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Gonzalez replaces S. Oregel
75'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: D. Badji replaces Boris Enow
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Glasgow replaces P. Zinckernagel
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces H. Cuypers
70'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
1-2
61'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: M. Peltola replaces B. Servania
61'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces J. Stroud
50'
Yellow Card
A. Herrera (DC United) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
K. Rowles (DC United) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers
1-1
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke
1-0

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D.C. United vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' D.C. United vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +235, Chicago +110, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-140/+115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • D.C. United: 29.9%
  • Chicago: 47.3%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is D.C. United 1-1 Chicago, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

D.C. United is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.9% probability, while Chicago sits at 47.3%, with the draw at 22.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' D.C. United vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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