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St Louis City vs. Seattle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Seattle at the MLS on May 3, 2025 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
1
4
May 4, 2:30AM Lumen Field (Seattle, Washington)
Seattle
May 4, 2:30AM Lumen Field (Seattle, Washington)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SeattleSEA
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
A. Rusnak (pen.) (33')
Soccer ball icon
O. Vargas (62')
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D. Musovski (81')
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Nouhou (90')
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M. Hartel (pen.) (29')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by Nouhou, assisted by R. Kent
1-4
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: J. Bell replaces Y. Gomez Andrade
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: O. De Rosario replaces D. Musovski
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by D. Musovski, assisted by Nouhou
1-3
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: G. Minoungou replaces P. de La Vega
76'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: X. Silva replaces K. Hiebert
69'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Joao Klauss
69'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Nilsson replaces J. Yaro
69'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: E. Lowen replaces C. Teuchert
66'
Yellow Card
K. Hiebert (St. Louis City) cautioned
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by O. Vargas
1-2
61'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces T. Ostrak
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Seattle Sounders: R. Kent replaces P. Rothrock
43'
Yellow Card
P. Rothrock (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
C. Teuchert (St. Louis City) cautioned
35'
Yellow Card
O. Vargas (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
33'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Seattle Sounders by A. Rusnak (pen.)
1-1
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel (pen.)
1-0
29'
Yellow Card
A. Roldan (Seattle Sounders) cautioned

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St Louis City vs. Seattle: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Seattle prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Seattle
  • Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Lumen Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +550, Seattle -189, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 15.8%
  • Seattle: 61.3%
  • Draw: 22.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 0-1 Seattle, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 15.8% probability, while Seattle sits at 61.3%, with the draw at 22.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Seattle prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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