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Dallas vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Dallas vs. San Jose at the MLS on October 2, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Dallas
2
3
Oct 3, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
San Jose
Oct 3, 2:30AM PayPal Park (San Jose, California)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
DallasFCD
H. Lopez (13')
Soccer ball icon
H. Lopez (79')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ebobisse (83')
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A. Velasco (41')
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S. Ibeagha (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SJ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
FCD
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by S. Ibeagha, assisted by S. Lletget
2-3
89'
Penalty missed by J. Ferreira for FC Dallas
84'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Lletget replaces A. Illarramendi
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Ebobisse, assisted by N. Tsakiris
1-3
81'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Morales replaces C. Gruezo
80'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: E. Twumasi replaces Nkosi Tafari
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by H. Lopez, assisted by A. Pellegrino
1-2
75'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Tsakiris replaces J. Yueill
75'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: A. Pellegrino replaces P. Marie
74'
Yellow Card
P. Arriola (FC Dallas) cautioned
73'
Yellow Card
C. Gruezo (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
71'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces P. Musa
71'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: T. Ntsabeleng replaces A. Velasco
63'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: Vitor Costa replaces C. Akapo
62'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ebobisse replaces J. Skahan
60'
Yellow Card
S. Ibeagha (FC Dallas) cautioned
55'
Yellow Card
A. Velasco (FC Dallas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: B. Kamungo replaces Ruan
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by A. Velasco
1-1
37'
Yellow Card
P. Marie (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
15'
Yellow Card
Nkosi Tafari (FC Dallas) cautioned
13'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by H. Lopez
0-1

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Dallas vs. San Jose: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Dallas vs. San Jose prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Dallas vs. San Jose
  • Date: Wednesday, October 2, 2024
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Dallas +155, San Jose +170, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-174/+142)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Dallas: 41.7%
  • San Jose: 34.4%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Dallas 1-1 San Jose, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Dallas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 41.7% probability, while San Jose sits at 34.4%, with the draw at 23.9%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Dallas vs. San Jose prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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