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Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on November 25, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
0
1
Nov 26, 1AM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
Nov 26, 1AM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
Y. Mosquera (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Y. Mosquera
0-1
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: M. Angulo replaces Y. Kubo
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces M. Uhre
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Donovan replaces J. McGlynn
88'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: D. Badji replaces A. Boupendza
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces J. Martinez
76'
Yellow Card
A. Boupendza (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
51'
Yellow Card
J. Carranza (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
30'
Yellow Card
R. Gaddis (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
11'
Yellow Card
D. Lowe (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

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Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, November 25, 2023
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +290, Cincinnati -115, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+124)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 25.6%
  • Cincinnati: 51.0%
  • Draw: 23.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 Cincinnati, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.6% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 51.0%, with the draw at 23.5%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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