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St Louis City vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on November 5, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
1
2
Nov 5, 10PM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Nov 5, 10PM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
L. Ndenbe (45')
Soccer ball icon
D. Salloi (73')
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C. Pompeu (86')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Jackson replaces I. Vassilev
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Espinoza replaces G. Kinda
90'
Yellow Card
K. Hiebert (St. Louis City) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Shelton replaces J. Russell
90'
Yellow Card
R. Espinoza (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Pompeu, assisted by N. Blom
1-2
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Thommy replaces A. Pulido
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Castellanos replaces D. Rosero
82'
Yellow Card
D. Rosero (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces A. Watts
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi
0-2
69'
Yellow Card
L. Ndenbe (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Gioacchini replaces J. Stroud
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Pompeu replaces S. Adeniran
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by L. Ndenbe
0-1
42'
Yellow Card
A. Pulido (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
T. Parker (St. Louis City) cautioned
23'
Yellow Card
E. Lowen (St. Louis City) cautioned

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St Louis City vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023
  • Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +360, Sporting KC -145, draw +330
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-154/+126)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 26.7%
  • Sporting KC: 50.6%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.7% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 50.6%, with the draw at 22.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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